Hurricane #Sandy – State of Emergency for many

The following states / areas have issued a State of Emergency: Washington D.C., Maryland, Virginia, North Carolina, New York, Pennsylvania, and New Jersey. If you know of others at this time, please let me know in the comments. Thanks ~ Ed

Here’s the latest on Sandy – Winds: 75 mph | Pressure 958 mb | Location: 29.0N 76.0W (190 miles North0Northeast of Great Abaco Island, 355 miles Southeast of Charleston South Carolina) | Moving NNE at 9 mph. Currently Tropical storm force winds extend out 450 miles and Hurricane winds out 105 miles from the center.

Turing our focus to areas that will be impacted in the short term by Sandy: For eastern North Carolina including the coastal areas we can expect Moderate coastal flooding tonight into Monday. Storm Surge combined with rainfall estimates at this time may cause inundation from 1 to 5 feet ‘above ground’ North of Cape Hatteras Ocean side, Cape Lookout to Cape Hatteras Ocean side, North of Surf City to Cape Lookout. On the sound side 3 to 5 feet ‘above ground’ may be seen along the Southern Pamlico Sound and Lower Neuse ‘Today and Sunday’ and anywhere on the sound side of the Outer Banks ‘Sunday into Monday’ including Roanoke Island. There is some uncertainty in the exact areas that will see this but it remains possible across a large area.

Winds will also be strong and gusty ‘tonight into Monday’ along Coastal areas sustained at 35 to 45 mph with gusts 50 to 65 mph. Further inland winds will be 25 to 35 mph with gust 40 to 50 mph. Now is a great time to secure loose belongings that are outside if you haven’t already done so. Rip currents will be dangerous with breaking waves 8 to 12 feet ‘today’ and will cause significant beach erosion. Please stay out of the ocean.


 

Stay with us for timely updates and the latest information as this storm unfolds at Foot’s Forecast: The Tropical Zone .

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Severe Weather Potential Friday July 20 2012

The severe threat will primarily be damaging winds, along with frequent to continuous lightning heavy rainfall / downpours which may cause flooding and hail.

At this time 6:10 AM EDT 7/20/2012 the main feature with this system has entered North Alabama and Georgia moving in a south southeast direction. This Mesoscale Convective System is already responsible for a couple Special Weather Statements being issued at this early hour where the primary threat has been winds of 40 to 50 MPH and pea sized hail in North Alabama and Georgia.

This activity will continue for much of the day and may increase during daytime heating. The area affected is generally the same as yesterday that being, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, North and South Carolina and Tennessee during early morning. Whether or not the storms will intensify later depends greatly on how much the area destabilizes and the possible interaction with outflow boundaries being pushed south southeast ahead of the main complex.

Here’s today’s early morning outlook from the Storm Prediction Center highlighting the Slight Risk of Severe Storms area. The next scheduled update from The SPC is expected around 9 AM EDT. At that time I will also post an update if warranted. Click Image to Enlarge

Previous Post concerning this posted July 19 at 2:45 PM EDT – Severe Weather Potential Friday July 20 2012 – Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia, Tennessee

Georgia Drought Update – June 8 2012

Before I get to the current drought situation in Georgia and the southeast, I would first like to mention the possibility of some good rain heading in this coming week. Without going into great detail of the approaching system, areas in the Southeast may see some high accumulation rates beginning Today [6/8/2012] through Thursday of next week. Some of the higher rain totals predicted will occur along the Gulf coast, seeing possibly as much as 10 inches of rain.

Here’s the 5 day outlook from the Hydrometeorological Prediction Center [HPC] valid from 8 Pm Thursday thru 5 PM Tuesday evening June 15 2012. There is the potential some areas will have flooding issues through next week.

The NWS Peachtree City, GA mentions precipitation approaching 4 inches in areas of West Central Georgia. The NWS Huntsville, AL is in agreement mentioning 3 to 4 inches possible for northern Alabama areas.

Drought Impacts from Tropical Storm Beryl

In my last Drought update on May 25, 2012, I mentioned the possibility of a Tropical System of some type impacting the areas of Georgia and Florida. Other areas in the Southeast also saw welcomed rains from that system known as Tropical Storm Beryl.

from the Drought Monitor Archives-Contiguous U.S. MAy 29 2012 – Tropical Storm Beryl formed on May 25 about 300 miles east of Charleston, South Carolina, and moved southwestward. Beryl made landfall just after midnight on Memorial Day, May 28, near Jacksonville Beach, Florida, then passed near Valdosta, Georgia, before turning toward the north and northeast. Before accelerating away from the coastal Carolinas on May 30, Beryl provided much-needed rain to drought-affected areas from Florida to the Mid-Atlantic coastal plain.

Here’s a Radar estimated rainfall amount from Moody Air Force Base, GA. Radar Precip Est From 1105 AM EDT Sun May 27 2012 to 0242 AM EDT Tue May 29 2012

While the rain from Beryl did help the drought situation in areas of Southeast Georgia, North Florida, and other areas in South and North Carolina, it did little for North Central, Central and Southwest Georgia. Here’s a graphic showing drought conditions in Georgia. On the left: Drought conditions on May 22 before Beryl. On the right: Current drought conditions as of June 5 2012 after Beryl.

Here’s a graphic showing the Drought conditions in the Southeast for the same time period. Notice North Carolina and Upstate South Carolina. On the left: Drought conditions on May 22 before Beryl. On the right: Current drought conditions as of June 5 2012 after Beryl.

Here’s a graphic showing Rain amounts for the last 14 days ending June 7. Notice the area along the east coast down through Florida, where impacts from Tropical Storms Beryl were seen the most.

Here’s what drought conditions look like for the remainder of the U.S. at this time.

And finally, here’s how much precipitation would be required to end drought conditions across the U.S. in 3 months. [NOTE: The end of a drought is defined by a PHDI value of -0.5.]