Southeast Drought Update- September ’08

From August ’08– “With RAIN on the way which some have forecast to be heavy at times, we will see if it can put a small dent in the water level. At any rate, the welcomed rain will only be a temporary solution.”

Lake Lanier surged more than 2 feet after remnants of Tropical Storm Fay dumped its rain, but forecasters are warning that north Georgia still needs months of above average rains to bust the drought.

Current reading for Lake Lanier– 1055.12 UP 0.82 inches from August 12 which was 1054.30. Full pool is 1071.0. Lanier is Still Down 15 feet point 88 inches, almost 16 feet. The 2 feet of water which came from Tropical Storm Fay is almost gone, in under 1 month. Georgia is in its third year of the current drought. The previous drought lasted from 1999 through 2002.

In a post from December of 2007, I showed you a graph of the Level of Lake Lanier from October ’07. The Level then was 1056.00. As you can see, the water level hasn’t change much since then.

Latest Seasonal Assessment – In August and early September, tropical weather systems continued to eat away at drought in the South and Southeast, and Hurricane Hanna’s forecast heavy rains appeared likely to further reduce drought on September 5-6. The rains from Hanna were forecast to drench drought areas from the eastern Carolinas into southern New Jersey, but largely miss drought areas in the interior. There was also a possibility that Hurricane Ike could deliver more moisture to the Southeast during the second week of September, although Ike’s ultimate track was very uncertain as of September 3. The overall forecast through November depicted overall improvement for drought across the Southeast, as well as several areas of drought in the Plains, and for recently-developed dry areas in the Midwest. In the Southeast, the expected moisture from tropical storms and other weather systems will boost soil moisture and streamflows, but a few of the larger reservoirs in the interior Southeast, such as Lanier in Georgia, are unlikely to recover before winter. In the West, although Pacific storms will likely begin to ramp up moisture levels in northern and central California by the end of November, most of the region should not see significant improvement until later in the winter, when seasonal snows starts piling up.- Forecaster: D. Le Comte

See the Related- Drought Files for more information and Pictures.

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