UPDATE:1/19/2008 6:40am ET
Well as you can see below this update [Original Post], I was a little Off with my Forecast. However, I did WARN you of this event before the Pro’s. I had predicted what is coming today earlier in the week from the first storm, but the Cold air was Not in place at that time. As stated before, “If you are in the Southeast I would get your Supplies NOW!” There is still time.
They are predicting 2-4″ of the White stuff for my area. Some of you will say so what. Well if you live in my area of the south, 2″ of snow is like a Foot where they are used to it. I stocked up this past Tuesday and also re-stocked my wood pile for when [NOT IF] the power goes out.
Here is the latest for my area:
Heavy Snow Warning
URGENT – WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PEACHTREE CITY GA
406 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008
…ACCUMULATING SNOW HEADED FOR PORTIONS OF NORTH AND CENTRAL
.LOW PRESSURE MOVING ACROSS THE GULF OF MEXICO WILL INTERACT WITH
AN ARCTIC FRONT PUSHING INTO THE SOUTHEAST TODAY TO PRODUCE A MIX
OF RAIN AND SNOW OVER MOST OF NORTH AND CENTRAL GEORGIA…AND A
NARROW SWATH OF ACCUMULATING SNOW OVER PORTIONS OF NORTH AND
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF…ATHENS…CONYERS…COVINGTON…
406 AM EST SAT JAN 19 2008
…HEAVY SNOW WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
EST THIS EVENING FOR AREAS NORTH OF A COLUMBUS TO MACON TO SPARTA
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PEACHTREE CITY HAS ISSUED A HEAVY
SNOW WARNING…WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 7 AM THIS MORNING TO 9 PM
EST THIS EVENING.
RAIN SPREADING NORTHWARD ACROSS GEORGIA EARLY THIS MORNING IS
EXPECTED TO CHANGE OVER TO SNOW THROUGH THE LATE MORNING HOURS.
THE SNOW MAY INITIALLY BE MIXED WITH RAIN…BUT WILL TRANSITION
TO PREDOMINANTLY SNOW BY EARLY AFTERNOON OVER MUCH OF THE WARNING
AREA. TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO BE HOVERING NEAR FREEZING MUCH
OF THE DAY SATURDAY…AND A DIFFERENCE OF A FEW DEGREES WARMER OR
COOLER WILL GREATLY IMPACT POTENTIAL FOR THE SNOW TO ACCUMULATE.
WHILE CONSIDERABLE UNCERTAINTY STILL EXISTS WITH RESPECT TO
LOCATION AND AMOUNT OF SNOWFALL…THERE IS POTENTIAL FOR 1 TO 3
INCHES OF SNOW ACROSS THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS EVENING. AT
THIS TIME…IT APPEARS THAT THE GREATEST LIKELIHOOD OF THE MORE
SIGNIFICANT SNOW ACCUMULATIONS WOULD BE NORTH OF A COLUMBUS TO
MACON TO SPARTA LINE.
A HEAVY SNOW WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED OR OCCURRING. SIGNIFICANT AMOUNTS OF SNOW ARE FORECAST
THAT WILL MAKE TRAVEL DANGEROUS. ONLY TRAVEL IN AN EMERGENCY. IF
YOU MUST…KEEP AN EXTRA FLASHLIGHT…FOOD…AND WATER IN YOUR
VEHICLE IN CASE OF AN EMERGENCY.
And the latest maps:
[Disclaimer: I am NOT a Meteorologist.]
With that being said, If you are in the Southeast I would get your Supplies NOW!
I have been watching this take shape for about 5 days now. I had Just mentioned this to My Family this past Sunday.I told them the indications that I see reminded me of the ‘Super Storm of 1993’, or the ‘Storm of the Century’, as it was Called.
As we know, Meteorology is a Science based on gathering information and making a Forecast/Speculation. Even the PRO”S are wrong 30% of the time. So on with my Speculation….er, Forecast….
First a little History of ‘The Storm of the Century’ from 1993-
On March 12, 1993, a newly formed cyclone moved into a low level baroclinic zone already in place over the Gulf of Mexico and began to rapidly intensify. The deepening cyclone turned northeastward and the center of low pressure made landfall in northwestern Florida during the early hours of March 13.
As you can see from this CURRENT[as of this post] image the Low Will be about in the SAME position as was in 1993, if not a little further south as compared to the above Storm Track image.
These next images Show the Forecasted development of this system.
In this image you can see the projected path of this current storm through Thursday January 17,2008.
In this Image you can see where the Storm in 1993 made landfall in Florida.
The area for land fall is similar, as are the conditions in the rest of the US, meaning the COLD temperatures.
This is the Loop of the ‘Storm of the Century’ from 1993.
When all was said and done, 270 people were dead and total property damage estimates exceeded $3 billion. According to the National Disaster Survey Report (NDSR 1994), twenty-six states were affected, impacting the lives of nearly 100 million people, approximately half the nation’s population. More than a foot of snow fell from Alabama into Maine, combined with record cold in the storm’s aftermath. Seventy record lows were set on March 14, with an additional 75 that following morning.